Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1047.971945 1193.841132 1358.186627 1558.146793 1796.315932 2072.721030 2420.406686
2025-05-11 834.666375 1024.643914 1260.129140 1577.941603 2002.624878 2560.805459 3367.592244
2025-05-18 738.273732 951.427795 1232.858620 1640.614020 2231.878198 3083.997228 4456.078260
2025-05-25 658.624707 880.930847 1189.159929 1661.647824 2394.070872 3534.902640 5554.383497
2025-06-01 590.633790 813.959285 1136.150444 1653.667574 2502.605468 3917.516154 6645.564202
2025-06-08 535.897721 757.575964 1088.497393 1642.198871 2597.504456 4291.213214 7830.713682
2025-06-15 501.399467 726.279482 1073.209643 1677.380788 2773.565793 4843.592276 9552.516309
2025-06-22 454.069285 669.697503 1010.621747 1622.563823 2776.647246 5066.620852 10645.488345
2025-06-29 415.476453 622.892778 958.261753 1577.267805 2787.700953 5305.423218 11863.949625
2025-07-06 380.729548 579.004846 905.948043 1524.493980 2773.911382 5486.795168 13009.715842
2025-07-13 368.118453 570.280513 912.270704 1580.692701 2990.674369 6236.556167 16061.080377
2025-07-20 350.821639 551.965258 899.639112 1598.268853 3128.226531 6836.650099 18991.818506
2025-07-27 335.477531 536.635254 892.477777 1629.397930 3311.285412 7631.443203 23164.861863
2025-08-03 319.916272 519.737392 881.005561 1650.939323 3479.754888 8454.064770 28113.683797
2025-08-10 311.234506 514.248380 890.165876 1717.222312 3772.075003 9742.091286 36165.470817
2025-08-17 298.243356 499.664616 880.062442 1739.498154 3957.721587 10781.218932 44228.362286
2025-08-24 283.198398 479.994238 857.867839 1731.047550 4059.736568 11590.597807 52091.522949
2025-08-31 269.135745 461.096180 835.422039 1718.904524 4149.536302 12400.061923 61088.585156
2025-09-07 260.860317 452.675733 833.682411 1756.158968 4392.277059 13896.048830 77140.725274
2025-09-14 244.787114 427.866107 795.342759 1698.117772 4335.128953 14184.788273 84706.466088
2025-09-21 230.859434 406.428926 762.520895 1650.178708 4301.042246 14567.405872 93945.509898
2025-09-28 217.341606 385.003288 728.126893 1594.350246 4231.732038 14778.436708 102226.541879
2025-10-05 213.896828 383.646782 737.411740 1653.802769 4557.216387 16973.675458 136871.478817